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Astralis

By: Mahsun Avci

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Monthly Free Cash Flow vs. Time

Revenue, Earnings, Cash, Tax vs. Time

Click Legend to Hide Data

Customers vs. Time

Total amount of customers through time.

New Renewal Customers vs. Time

Share Price vs. Time - starting day 365

Click Legend to Hide Data

New Inbound Customers vs. Time

Inputs
Starting State
cash_in_bank	DKK 0,00
assets	DKK 0,00
liabilities	DKK 0,00
customer_count	0
Product
realization_rate	100.0 %
price_of_offer	DKK 3.000,00
cost_to_fulfill	9.98 %
time_to_collect	300 Days
refund_period	0 Days
refund_rate	2.0 %
initial contract length/time to renew	1 Days
Renewals
churn_rate	20.02 %
price_of_renewal	DKK 7.000,00
cost_to_sell_renewal	10.0 %
cost_to_fulfill_renewal	10.0 %
time_to_collect_renewal	30 Days
renewal_rate_of_renewals	50.0 %
Sales and Martketing
cost_to_sell	15.0 %
time_to_sell	20 Days
average_deals_per_sales_rep_per_month	1.0
Granular
granular	true
Inbound
media_spend	DKK 25.000,00
Cost per thousand impressions	DKK 70,00
Click-through rate	1.5 %
funnel_conversion_rate	2.0 %
time_to_market_inbound	7 Days
lead_to_customer_conversion_rate_inbound	8.0 %
Administration
transaction_fee	2.9 %
fixed_costs_per_month	DKK 10.000,00
fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers per month	DKK 0,00
upfront_investment_costs	DKK 0,00
debt	DKK 0,00
interest_rate	6.0 %
Viral Component
viral_component	false
Valuations
tax_rate	22.0 %
inflation_rate	2.0 %
time_max	2500 Days
number_of_shares	1,000,000 Shares
DCF Method
projection_period_dcf	1825 Days
discount_rate	9.0 %
growth_rate	2.0 %
EBITDA Multiple Method
enterprise_multiple_ebitda	14.0
projection_period_ebitda	1825 Days
P/E Method
pe_multiple	22.0
projection_period_pe	1825 Days
Revenue Multiple Method
ev_revenue_multiple	7.0
projection_period_ev_revenue	1825 Days

Outputs
Product and Acquisition
@expected_value_of_offer_price The average amount of money you actually collect from the client (after transaction fees).	DKK 2.913,00
@cost_to_fulfill_dollars	DKK 290,72
@cost_to_market_dollars	DKK 2.916,65
@cost_to_sell_dollars	DKK 436,95
@customer_acquisition_cost	DKK 3.353,60
@expected_value_of_renewal_price	DKK 6.797,00
@cost_to_fulfill_renewal_dollars	DKK 700,00
@lifetime_value	DKK 14.197,20
Renewals
@cost_to_sell_renewal_dollars	DKK 700,00
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_day	DKK 179,90
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_month	DKK 5.470,76
Business Modelling
Granular
Inbound
@media_spend_per_day Amount spent on paid advertising per day.	DKK 822,10
@lead_dot_inbound per day Number of new leads per day created from inbound efforts.	3.52 Leads
@lead_dot_inbound per month Number of new leads per day created from inbound efforts.	107.14 Leads
@cost_per_lead_inbound	DKK 233,33
@c_dot_inbound per day rounded Number of new customers generated per month from inbound efforts.	0.28 Customers
@c_dot_inbound per month rounded Number of new customers generated per month from inbound efforts.	8.57 Customers
@cost_per_click	DKK 4,67
@inbound_cost_per_customer Includes Cost to Sell	DKK 0,00
Blended
@blended_lead_dot per day Number of new leads created per month from both inbound and outbound efforts.	3.52 Leads
@blended_lead_dot per month Number of new leads created per month from both inbound and outbound efforts.	107.14 Leads
@outbound_lead_ratio Ratio of outbound leads to inbound leads.	0.0 %
@inbound_lead_ratio	100.0 %
@organic_lead_ratio	0.0 %
@blended_cost_per_lead Average cost per lead from both inbound and outbound methods.	DKK 233,33
@blended_lead_conversion_rate Average conversion rate from both inbound and outbound methods.	8.0 %
@c_dot_blended per day rounded Average number of new customers per month from both inbound and outbound methods.	0.28 Customers
@c_dot_blended per month rounded Average number of new customers per month from both inbound and outbound methods.	8.57 Customers
@time_to_market_blended Average amount of time to generate a lead from both inbound and outbound methods.	7.0 Days
@cost_to_market_blended Average cost to generate a lead from both inbound and outbound methods.	DKK 2.916,65
@customer_acquisition_cost	DKK 3.353,60
@contribution_after_marketing	-DKK 731,32
@contribution_margin_before_marketing	90.02 %
@contribution_margin_after_marketing	-25.11 %
@profit_per_customer_per_day	-DKK 2,24
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_day rounded	0.28 Customers
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_month rounded	8.57 Customers
@sales_reps_needed
Administration
@fixed_costs_per_day	DKK 328,84
@fixed_costs_per_month (input) The average monthly fixed costs for the business. This includes rent, computers, founder salaries, engineer salaries, etc.	DKK 10.000,00
@fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers_per_day	DKK 0,00
@cost_of_debt_daily	DKK 0,00
@cost_of_debt_monthly	DKK 0,00
Valuations
@projection_period_dcf (input) The time period in which the cash flows are summed and discounted in the DCF model.	1,825 Days
@fct_projection_period	DKK 1.446,20
@int_fct_projection_period	DKK 527.864,39
@terminal_value	DKK 6.959.791,65
@int_pv_fcf_projection_period	DKK 2.506.193,85
@DCF_enterprise_value	DKK 9.465.985,50
@DCF_equity_value The Market cap of the company, derived using Discounted Cash Flow valuation method. Market cap is defined as Enterprise Value+cash-debt.	DKK 9.465.985,50
@number_of_shares (input) The number of shares of the business issued as defined in the shareholder agreement.	1,000,000 Shares
@share_price Price of a share, derived from DCF Market cap.	DKK 9,47
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap	DKK 8.549.408,34
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap_fcf	DKK 11.327.360,70
@pe_multiple_market_cap	DKK 15.817.539,51
@ev_revenue_multiple_market_cap	DKK 5.032.853,48
@c_consumption The minimum point on the Cash graph. In reality this is additional amount of money needed to raise, for company not to go bankrupt. This is observed only on the projection period.	DKK 1.114,00
@t_profitability_day Month in which the first day with a positive Free Cash Flow exists. If First positive FCF day is day 40, then t profitability day is 2 months.	7 Days
@t_profitability_month Month in which the first day with a positive Free Cash Flow exists. If First positive FCF day is day 40, then t profitability day is 2 months.	1 Month
@positive_total_cash_day	12 Days
@positive_total_cash_month	1 Month
@cash below $0 day The day at which the cash function intersects with x axis - the first point in time in days, where cash equals $0,	Day 1
@additional_debt	-$1,114.00
@return_on_starting_cash_day_365

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