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General E-Learning copy

By: Charles Lapointe
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Monthly Free Cash Flow vs. Time

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Revenue, Earnings, Cash, Tax vs. Time

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Customers vs. Time

Total amount of customers through time.

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New Renewal Customers vs. Time

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Share Price vs. Time - starting day 365

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New Outbound Customers vs. Time

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New Inbound Customers vs. Time

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Inputs
Starting State
cash_in_bank $0.00
assets $0.00
liabilities $0.00
customer_count 0
Product
realization_rate 93.0 %
price_of_offer $6,000.00
cost_to_fulfill 10.0 %
time_to_collect 30 Days
refund_period 60 Days
refund_rate 3.0 %
initial contract length/time to renew 365 Days
Renewals
churn_rate 90.0 %
price_of_renewal $24,000.00
cost_to_sell_renewal 10.0 %
cost_to_fulfill_renewal 10.0 %
time_to_collect_renewal 30 Days
renewal_rate_of_renewals 10.0 %
Sales and Martketing
cost_to_sell 15.0 %
time_to_sell 20 Days
average_deals_per_sales_rep_per_month 5.0
Granular
granular true
Outbound
outbound_salary $3,000.00
number_of_contacts_per_month per sdr 2000
number_of_sdrs 1
outbound_contact_to_lead_conversion_rate 2.0 %
time_to_market_outbound 11 Days
lead_to_customer_conversion_rate_outbound 8.0 %
Inbound
media_spend $3,000.00
Cost per thousand impressions $40.00
Click-through rate 2.0 %
funnel_conversion_rate 2.0 %
time_to_market_inbound 1 Days
lead_to_customer_conversion_rate_inbound 8.0 %
Organic
organic_views_per_month 10000
organic_view_to_lead_conversion_rate 0.2 %
lead_to_customer_conversion_rate_organic 8.0 %
time_to_market_organic 20 Days
organic_cost_per_month $0.00
Administration
transaction_fee 2.9 %
fixed_costs_per_month $10,000.00
fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers per month $0.00
upfront_investment_costs $0.00
debt $0.00
interest_rate 6.0 %
Viral Component
viral_component false
Valuations
tax_rate 22.0 %
inflation_rate 2.0 %
time_max 2500 Days
number_of_shares 1,000,000 Shares
DCF Method
projection_period_dcf 1825 Days
discount_rate 9.0 %
growth_rate 2.0 %
EBITDA Multiple Method
enterprise_multiple_ebitda 14.0
projection_period_ebitda 1825 Days
P/E Method
pe_multiple 22.0
projection_period_pe 1825 Days
Revenue Multiple Method
ev_revenue_multiple 7.0
projection_period_ev_revenue 1825 Days
Outputs
Product and Acquisition
@expected_value_of_offer_price $5,418.18
@cost_to_fulfill_dollars $541.82
@cost_to_market_dollars $833.35
@cost_to_sell_dollars $812.73
@customer_acquisition_cost $1,646.08
@expected_value_of_renewal_price $21,672.72
@cost_to_fulfill_renewal_dollars $2,400.00
@lifetime_value $8,060.00
Renewals
@cost_to_sell_renewal_dollars $2,400.00
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_day $562.42
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_month $17,103.31
Business Modelling
Granular
Outbound
@outbound_salary_per_day $98.65
@number_of_contacts_per_day_per_sdr 65.77 Contacts
@total_salary per day $98.65
@cost_per_100_contacts $150.00
@outbound_contacts_dot per day 65.77 Contacts
@cost_per_lead_outbound $75.00
@lead_dot_outbound per day 1.32 Leads
@lead_dot_outbound per month 40.0 Leads
@c_dot_outbound per day rounded 0.11 Customers
@c_dot_outbound per month rounded 3.2 Customers
@outbound_cost_per_customer $1,750.23
Inbound
@media_spend_per_day $98.65
@lead_dot_inbound per day 0.99 Leads
@lead_dot_inbound per month 30.0 Leads
@cost_per_lead_inbound $100.00
@c_dot_inbound per day rounded 0.08 Customers
@c_dot_inbound per month rounded 2.4 Customers
@cost_per_click $2.00
@inbound_cost_per_customer $2,062.75
Organic
@organic_views_per_day per day 328.84
@organic_views_per_month per month (input) 10000
@lead_dot_organic per day 0.66 Leads
@lead_dot_organic per month 20.0 Leads
@c_dot_organic per day rounded 0.05 Customers
@c_dot_organic per month rounded 1.6 Customers
@organic_cost_per_month (input) $0.00
@organic_cost_per_day $0.00
@organic_cost_per_lead $0.00
@organic_cost_per_customer $812.73
Blended
@blended_lead_dot per day 2.96 Leads
@blended_lead_dot per month 90.0 Leads
@outbound_lead_ratio 44.45 %
@inbound_lead_ratio 33.33 %
@organic_lead_ratio 22.22 %
@blended_cost_per_lead $66.67
@blended_lead_conversion_rate 8.0 %
@c_dot_blended per day rounded 0.24 Customers
@c_dot_blended per month rounded 7.2 Customers
@time_to_market_blended 10.0 Days
@cost_to_market_blended $833.35
@customer_acquisition_cost $1,646.08
@contribution_after_marketing $3,230.28
@contribution_margin_before_marketing 90.0 %
@contribution_margin_after_marketing 59.62 %
@profit_per_customer_per_day $53.84
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_day rounded 0.24 Customers
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_month rounded 7.2 Customers
@sales_reps_needed 2
Administration
@fixed_costs_per_day $328.84
@fixed_costs_per_month (input) $10,000.00
@fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers_per_day $0.00
@cost_of_debt_daily $0.00
@cost_of_debt_monthly $0.00
Valuations
@projection_period_dcf (input) 1,825 Days
@fct_projection_period $676.00
@int_fct_projection_period $246,750.47
@terminal_value $3,253,358.05
@int_pv_fcf_projection_period $1,016,250.80
@DCF_enterprise_value $4,269,608.85
@DCF_equity_value $4,269,608.85
@number_of_shares (input) 1,000,000 Shares
@share_price $4.27
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap $3,996,207.99
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap_fcf $5,140,754.77
@pe_multiple_market_cap $8,662,510.40
@ev_revenue_multiple_market_cap $2,756,253.31
@c_consumption $4,077.60
@t_profitability_day 26 Days
@t_profitability_month 1 Month
@positive_total_cash_day 54 Days
@positive_total_cash_month 2 Months
@cash below $0 day Day 1
@additional_debt -$4,077.60
@return_on_starting_cash_day_365 0.0 %
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