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High Ticket Offer- LWS

By: Eric Presley
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Monthly Free Cash Flow vs. Time

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Revenue, Earnings, Cash, Tax vs. Time

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Customers vs. Time

Total amount of customers through time.

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New Renewal Customers vs. Time

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Share Price vs. Time - starting day 365

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Inputs
Starting State
cash_in_bank $15,000.00
assets $0.00
liabilities $0.00
customer_count 0
Product
realization_rate 100.0 %
price_of_offer $12,000.00
cost_to_fulfill 35.0 %
time_to_collect 1 Days
refund_period 3 Days
refund_rate 2.0 %
initial contract length/time to renew 1 Days
Renewals
churn_rate 100.0 %
Sales and Martketing
cost_to_sell 10.0 %
time_to_sell 7 Days
average_deals_per_sales_rep_per_month 1.0
Non-Granular
customer_acquisition_rate_per_month 22
cost_to_market 8.0 %
time_to_market 2 Days
Granular
granular false
Administration
transaction_fee 2.9 %
fixed_costs_per_month $8,000.00
fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers per month $0.00
upfront_investment_costs $0.00
debt $0.00
interest_rate -0.01 %
Viral Component
viral_component false
Valuations
tax_rate 24.0 %
inflation_rate 4.0 %
time_max 2500 Days
number_of_shares 100,000 Shares
DCF Method
projection_period_dcf 1095 Days
discount_rate 9.0 %
growth_rate 2.0 %
EBITDA Multiple Method
enterprise_multiple_ebitda 5.0
projection_period_ebitda 365 Days
Outputs
Product and Acquisition
@expected_value_of_offer_price $11,652.00
@cost_to_fulfill_dollars $4,078.20
@cost_to_market_dollars $932.16
@cost_to_sell_dollars $1,165.20
@customer_acquisition_cost $2,097.36
@lifetime_value $12,000.00
Business Modelling
Granular
Blended
@customer_acquisition_cost $2,097.36
@contribution_after_marketing $5,476.44
@contribution_margin_before_marketing 65.0 %
@contribution_margin_after_marketing 47.0 %
@profit_per_customer_per_day $547.64
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_day rounded 0.72 Customers
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_month rounded 22.0 Customers
Administration
@fixed_costs_per_day $263.07
@fixed_costs_per_month (input) $8,000.00
@fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers_per_day $0.00
@cost_of_debt_daily $0.00
@cost_of_debt_monthly $0.00
Valuations
@projection_period_dcf (input) 1,095 Days
@fct_projection_period $2,768.77
@int_fct_projection_period $1,010,602.08
@terminal_value $13,060,801.74
@int_pv_fcf_projection_period $2,858,523.11
@DCF_enterprise_value $15,919,324.85
@DCF_equity_value $15,934,324.85
@number_of_shares (input) 100,000 Shares
@share_price $159.34
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap $5,833,732.17
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap_fcf $6,328,486.02
@c_consumption $0.00
@t_profitability_day 1 Day
@t_profitability_month 1 Month
@positive_total_cash_day 0 Day
@positive_total_cash_month 0 Month
@cash below $0 day Cash is never $0
@additional_debt No additional debt needed
@return_on_starting_cash_day_365
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