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Test Saas Model

By: Lwanda Mhlongo
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Monthly Free Cash Flow vs. Time

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Revenue, Earnings, Cash, Tax vs. Time

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Customers vs. Time

Total amount of customers through time.

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New Renewal Customers vs. Time

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Share Price vs. Time - starting day 365

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New Outbound Customers vs. Time

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Inputs
Starting State
cash_in_bank R0.00
assets R0.00
liabilities R0.00
customer_count 0
Product
realization_rate 93.0 %
price_of_offer R8,000.00
cost_to_fulfill 10.0 %
time_to_collect 365 Days
refund_period 60 Days
refund_rate 2.0 %
initial contract length/time to renew 365 Days
Renewals
churn_rate 50.0 %
price_of_renewal R7,000.00
cost_to_sell_renewal 10.0 %
cost_to_fulfill_renewal 10.0 %
time_to_collect_renewal 365 Days
renewal_rate_of_renewals 50.0 %
Sales and Martketing
cost_to_sell 15.0 %
time_to_sell 20 Days
average_deals_per_sales_rep_per_month 1.0
Granular
granular true
Outbound
outbound_salary R3,000.00
number_of_contacts_per_month per sdr 2000
number_of_sdrs 40
outbound_contact_to_lead_conversion_rate 2.0 %
time_to_market_outbound 11 Days
lead_to_customer_conversion_rate_outbound 8.0 %
Administration
transaction_fee 2.9 %
fixed_costs_per_month R10,000.00
fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers per month R0.00
upfront_investment_costs R0.00
debt R0.00
interest_rate 6.0 %
Viral Component
viral_component false
Valuations
tax_rate 22.0 %
inflation_rate 2.0 %
time_max 2500 Days
number_of_shares 1,000,000 Shares
DCF Method
projection_period_dcf 1825 Days
discount_rate 9.0 %
growth_rate 2.0 %
EBITDA Multiple Method
enterprise_multiple_ebitda 14.0
projection_period_ebitda 365 Days
P/E Method
pe_multiple 22.0
projection_period_pe 365 Days
Revenue Multiple Method
ev_revenue_multiple 7.0
projection_period_ev_revenue 365 Days
Outputs
Product and Acquisition
@expected_value_of_offer_price R7,224.24
@cost_to_fulfill_dollars R722.42
@cost_to_market_dollars R937.50
@cost_to_sell_dollars R1,083.64
@customer_acquisition_cost R2,021.14
@expected_value_of_renewal_price R6,321.21
@cost_to_fulfill_renewal_dollars R700.00
@lifetime_value R13,950.00
Renewals
@cost_to_sell_renewal_dollars R700.00
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_day R13.48
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_month R410.01
Business Modelling
Granular
Outbound
@outbound_salary_per_day R98.65
@number_of_contacts_per_day_per_sdr 65.77 Contacts
@total_salary per day R3,946.07
@cost_per_100_contacts R150.00
@outbound_contacts_dot per day 2630.71 Contacts
@cost_per_lead_outbound R75.00
@lead_dot_outbound per day 52.61 Leads
@lead_dot_outbound per month 1600.0 Leads
@c_dot_outbound per day rounded 4.21 Customers
@c_dot_outbound per month rounded 128.0 Customers
@outbound_cost_per_customer R2,021.14
Blended
@blended_lead_dot per day 52.61 Leads
@blended_lead_dot per month 1600.0 Leads
@outbound_lead_ratio 100.0 %
@inbound_lead_ratio 0.0 %
@organic_lead_ratio 0.0 %
@blended_cost_per_lead R75.00
@blended_lead_conversion_rate 8.0 %
@c_dot_blended per day rounded 4.21 Customers
@c_dot_blended per month rounded 128.0 Customers
@time_to_market_blended 11.0 Days
@cost_to_market_blended R937.50
@customer_acquisition_cost R2,021.14
@contribution_after_marketing R4,480.68
@contribution_margin_before_marketing 90.0 %
@contribution_margin_after_marketing 62.02 %
@profit_per_customer_per_day R11.31
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_day rounded 4.21 Customers
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_month rounded 128.0 Customers
@sales_reps_needed 128
Administration
@fixed_costs_per_day R328.84
@fixed_costs_per_month (input) R10,000.00
@fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers_per_day R0.00
@cost_of_debt_daily R0.00
@cost_of_debt_monthly R0.00
Valuations
@projection_period_dcf (input) 1,825 Days
@fct_projection_period R29,048.46
@int_fct_projection_period R10,693,235.87
@terminal_value R140,988,282.45
@int_pv_fcf_projection_period R35,841,415.24
@DCF_enterprise_value R176,829,697.69
@DCF_equity_value R176,829,697.69
@number_of_shares (input) 1,000,000 Shares
@share_price R176.83
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap R38,217,867.78
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap_fcf R41,400,555.53
@pe_multiple_market_cap R67,639,650.99
@ev_revenue_multiple_market_cap R21,521,707.13
@c_consumption R972.90
@t_profitability_day 7 Days
@t_profitability_month 1 Month
@positive_total_cash_day 14 Days
@positive_total_cash_month 1 Month
@cash below $0 day Day 1
@additional_debt -$972.90
@return_on_starting_cash_day_365 0.0 %
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