This could take a minute...

Ultrain App

By: Juan Luis Mazzaccaro
Scroll on charts to zoom.
Click and drag to pan.
Zooming is slower the greater number of datapoints visible.

Monthly Free Cash Flow vs. Time

Loading...


Revenue, Earnings, Cash, Tax vs. Time

Click Legend to Hide Data
Loading...


Customers vs. Time

Total amount of customers through time.

Loading...


New Renewal Customers vs. Time

Loading...


Share Price vs. Time - starting day 365

Click Legend to Hide Data
Loading...


New Inbound Customers vs. Time

Loading...


Inputs
Starting State
cash_in_bank $50,000.00
assets $0.00
liabilities $0.00
customer_count 0
Product
realization_rate 93.0 %
price_of_offer $42.00
cost_to_fulfill 2.0 %
time_to_collect 1 Days
refund_period 14 Days
refund_rate 2.0 %
initial contract length/time to renew 30 Days
Renewals
churn_rate 5.0 %
price_of_renewal $42.00
cost_to_sell_renewal 0.0 %
cost_to_fulfill_renewal 2.0 %
time_to_collect_renewal 1 Days
renewal_rate_of_renewals 90.0 %
Sales and Martketing
cost_to_sell 0.0 %
time_to_sell 3 Days
average_deals_per_sales_rep_per_month 1.0
Granular
granular true
Inbound
media_spend $50,000.00
Cost per thousand impressions $20.00
Click-through rate 2.0 %
funnel_conversion_rate 8.0 %
time_to_market_inbound 1 Days
lead_to_customer_conversion_rate_inbound 10.0 %
Administration
transaction_fee 2.9 %
fixed_costs_per_month $1,000.00
fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers per month $0.00
upfront_investment_costs $0.00
debt $0.00
interest_rate 6.0 %
Viral Component
viral_component false
Valuations
tax_rate 22.0 %
inflation_rate 2.0 %
time_max 2500 Days
number_of_shares 1,000,000 Shares
DCF Method
projection_period_dcf 1825 Days
discount_rate 9.0 %
growth_rate 2.0 %
EBITDA Multiple Method
enterprise_multiple_ebitda 10.0
projection_period_ebitda 1825 Days
P/E Method
pe_multiple 22.0
projection_period_pe 1825 Days
Revenue Multiple Method
ev_revenue_multiple 7.0
projection_period_ev_revenue 1825 Days
Outputs
Product and Acquisition
@expected_value_of_offer_price $37.93
@cost_to_fulfill_dollars $0.76
@cost_to_market_dollars $125.00
@cost_to_sell_dollars $0.00
@customer_acquisition_cost $125.00
@expected_value_of_renewal_price $37.93
@cost_to_fulfill_renewal_dollars $0.84
@lifetime_value $410.13
Renewals
@cost_to_sell_renewal_dollars $0.00
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_day $37.09
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_month $1,127.82
Business Modelling
Granular
Inbound
@media_spend_per_day $1,644.20
@lead_dot_inbound per day 131.54 Leads
@lead_dot_inbound per month 4000.0 Leads
@cost_per_lead_inbound $12.50
@c_dot_inbound per day rounded 13.15 Customers
@c_dot_inbound per month rounded 400.0 Customers
@cost_per_click $1.00
@inbound_cost_per_customer $0.00
Blended
@blended_lead_dot per day 131.54 Leads
@blended_lead_dot per month 4000.0 Leads
@outbound_lead_ratio 0.0 %
@inbound_lead_ratio 100.0 %
@organic_lead_ratio 0.0 %
@blended_cost_per_lead $12.50
@blended_lead_conversion_rate 10.0 %
@c_dot_blended per day rounded 13.15 Customers
@c_dot_blended per month rounded 400.0 Customers
@time_to_market_blended 1.0 Days
@cost_to_market_blended $125.00
@customer_acquisition_cost $125.00
@contribution_after_marketing -$87.83
@contribution_margin_before_marketing 98.0 %
@contribution_margin_after_marketing -231.58 %
@profit_per_customer_per_day -$17.57
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_day rounded 13.15 Customers
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_month rounded 400.0 Customers
@sales_reps_needed
Administration
@fixed_costs_per_day $32.88
@fixed_costs_per_month (input) $1,000.00
@fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers_per_day $0.00
@cost_of_debt_daily $0.00
@cost_of_debt_monthly $0.00
Valuations
@projection_period_dcf (input) 1,825 Days
@fct_projection_period $2,576.94
@int_fct_projection_period $941,642.55
@terminal_value $12,415,378.04
@int_pv_fcf_projection_period $3,478,587.60
@DCF_enterprise_value $15,893,965.64
@DCF_equity_value $15,943,965.64
@number_of_shares (input) 1,000,000 Shares
@share_price $15.94
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap $10,905,601.13
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap_fcf $14,509,931.80
@pe_multiple_market_cap $24,170,597.98
@ev_revenue_multiple_market_cap $7,724,735.72
@c_consumption $18,481.72
@t_profitability_day 91 Days
@t_profitability_month 3 Months
@positive_total_cash_day 0 Day
@positive_total_cash_month 0 Month
@cash below $0 day Day 51
@additional_debt -$18,481.72
@return_on_starting_cash_day_365
Comments