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High Ticket Monetization

By: Shawn Francis
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Monthly Free Cash Flow vs. Time

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Revenue, Earnings, Cash, Tax vs. Time

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Customers vs. Time

Total amount of customers through time.

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New Renewal Customers vs. Time

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Share Price vs. Time - starting day 365

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New Outbound Customers vs. Time

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Inputs
Starting State
cash_in_bank $10,000.00
assets $0.00
liabilities $0.00
customer_count 0
Product
realization_rate 93.0 %
price_of_offer $7,500.00
cost_to_fulfill 40.0 %
time_to_collect 90 Days
refund_period 60 Days
refund_rate 2.0 %
initial contract length/time to renew 365 Days
Renewals
churn_rate 50.0 %
price_of_renewal $7,000.00
cost_to_sell_renewal 10.0 %
cost_to_fulfill_renewal 10.0 %
time_to_collect_renewal 30 Days
renewal_rate_of_renewals 50.0 %
Sales and Martketing
cost_to_sell 15.0 %
time_to_sell 21 Days
average_deals_per_sales_rep_per_month 1.0
Granular
granular true
Outbound
outbound_salary $350.00
number_of_contacts_per_month per sdr 200
number_of_sdrs 3
outbound_contact_to_lead_conversion_rate 2.0 %
time_to_market_outbound 14 Days
lead_to_customer_conversion_rate_outbound 8.0 %
Administration
transaction_fee 4.6 %
fixed_costs_per_month $2,000.00
fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers per month $0.00
upfront_investment_costs $0.00
debt $0.00
interest_rate 6.0 %
Viral Component
viral_component false
Valuations
tax_rate 22.0 %
inflation_rate 7.0 %
time_max 2500 Days
number_of_shares 10,000 Shares
DCF Method
projection_period_dcf 1825 Days
discount_rate 9.0 %
growth_rate 2.0 %
EBITDA Multiple Method
enterprise_multiple_ebitda 14.0
projection_period_ebitda 365 Days
P/E Method
pe_multiple 22.0
projection_period_pe 365 Days
Revenue Multiple Method
ev_revenue_multiple 7.0
projection_period_ev_revenue 365 Days
Outputs
Product and Acquisition
@expected_value_of_offer_price $6,654.15
@cost_to_fulfill_dollars $2,661.66
@cost_to_market_dollars $1,093.75
@cost_to_sell_dollars $998.12
@customer_acquisition_cost $2,091.87
@expected_value_of_renewal_price $6,210.54
@cost_to_fulfill_renewal_dollars $700.00
@lifetime_value $13,485.00
Renewals
@cost_to_sell_renewal_dollars $700.00
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_day $160.35
@renewal_profit_per_customer_per_month $4,876.28
Business Modelling
Granular
Outbound
@outbound_salary_per_day $11.51
@number_of_contacts_per_day_per_sdr 6.58 Contacts
@total_salary per day $34.53
@cost_per_100_contacts $175.00
@outbound_contacts_dot per day 19.73 Contacts
@cost_per_lead_outbound $87.50
@lead_dot_outbound per day 0.39 Leads
@lead_dot_outbound per month 12.0 Leads
@c_dot_outbound per day rounded 0.03 Customers
@c_dot_outbound per month rounded 0.96 Customers
@outbound_cost_per_customer $0.00
Blended
@blended_lead_dot per day 0.39 Leads
@blended_lead_dot per month 12.0 Leads
@outbound_lead_ratio 100.0 %
@inbound_lead_ratio 0.0 %
@organic_lead_ratio 0.0 %
@blended_cost_per_lead $87.50
@blended_lead_conversion_rate 8.0 %
@c_dot_blended per day rounded 0.03 Customers
@c_dot_blended per month rounded 0.96 Customers
@time_to_market_blended 14.0 Days
@cost_to_market_blended $1,093.75
@customer_acquisition_cost $2,091.87
@contribution_after_marketing $1,900.62
@contribution_margin_before_marketing 60.0 %
@contribution_margin_after_marketing 28.56 %
@profit_per_customer_per_day $15.20
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_day rounded 0.03 Customers
@customer_acquisition_rate_per_month rounded 0.96 Customers
@sales_reps_needed 1
Administration
@fixed_costs_per_day $65.77
@fixed_costs_per_month (input) $2,000.00
@fixed_cost_increase_per_hundred_customers_per_day $0.00
@cost_of_debt_daily $0.00
@cost_of_debt_monthly $0.00
Valuations
@projection_period_dcf (input) 1,825 Days
@fct_projection_period $104.00
@int_fct_projection_period $39,231.52
@terminal_value $402,855.01
@int_pv_fcf_projection_period $100,739.17
@DCF_enterprise_value $503,594.18
@DCF_equity_value $513,594.18
@number_of_shares (input) 10,000 Shares
@share_price $51.36
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap -$48,332.15
@ebitda_multiple_market_cap_fcf -$57,915.80
@pe_multiple_market_cap $379,784.91
@ev_revenue_multiple_market_cap $127,658.84
@c_consumption $0.00
@t_profitability_day 368 Days
@t_profitability_month 13 Months
@positive_total_cash_day 0 Day
@positive_total_cash_month 0 Month
@cash below $0 day Cash is never $0
@additional_debt No additional debt needed
@return_on_starting_cash_day_365
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